Sorry it's taken so long for me to publish these results, but there never seems to be enough time to sit down and post. I usually take the opportunity on NFP day to update the blog, but needed some down time last Friday so I'm forcing myself to take a little time towards the end of the trading day today to do it. I know it's important for those of you stopping by to get more information before purchasing FPM, so you'll find the results for February below.
Before we get to that though, I do want to take a few minutes to remind anyone who is considering purchasing that this system is NOT the holy grail. Every once in a while I have to bring this subject up again as new crops of unsuccessful and novice traders discover FPM. There's a lot of great feedback and testimonials about this system because when used properly it does work, but one of the problems with the great testimonials is that it gives people new to Forex trading the idea that it doesn't lose. I got an email just today from someone who purchased FPM over the weekend and was a little upset that his first trade was a loser and that he was "lucky" it was a demo trade and not a real trade. After looking at the trade he referenced the first thing I noticed was that it was still an active trade. No exit signal had been generated yet... although the trade was about 160 pips in the negative on a 4 Hour chart. First thing to grasp here if you're new to trading... if you're not willing to take a 160 pip loss on a 4 Hour chart then you're not ready to trade with real money. 160 pips is not a large loss on this time frame, no matter which pair you're trading. Oh, and I should mention this too... according to the system rules the trade hadn't generated an exit signal yet, so that means this trader bailed out of fear. Even if the trader ends up losing less on this trade by exiting early (if it does end up being a loser) he can still consider this trade a BIG loser because he didn't stick to the plan and follow the rules. I can't emphasize enough how important this is. This is still an active trade according to the system rules and there is a chance that it could be a winner (or at least a smaller loser).
Here's an example of why you don't want to do this from Febuary's results. The EUR/JPY pair had 3 losing trades and only 1 winning trade on the 4 Hour chart in February. Thats a 25% win rate. Pretty bad, right? How can you make money that way? Easy... as mentioned before this is a trend following system. Most of your winning trades will be much bigger than your losing trades... usually enough to cover your losses and still show a profit; and that's what happened in this example. The 3 losing trades came first, all in a row (this is important). The winning trade came last. The losing trades lost 18 pips, 186 pips, and 136 pips. The winning trade won 629 pips. If you had bailed out of trading this pair because of fear after the first loss (or first two losses, or first three losses...) do you see how you lose? By following the plan and accepting your losses you would have gained 289 pips on these trades instead of losing 18, 204, or 337 pips depending on where you bailed out of fear.
As a new trader you MUST understand the effects of trading psychology before you can be successful. If you insist on making discretionary decisions based on your fear of losing you will NEVER win. That's why I include information in my trading systems about this. It's also why I continue to post my monthly FPM results on this blog. You can see that there are losing trades and you can see that most months there are some currency pairs that lose... but by trading several pairs and following the system rules I've been able to generate a profit almost every single month with FPM since the spring of 2007. It's not a fluke... if you take the time to be realistic and learn to trade properly you can take profit from the Forex! Please do yourself a favor and (if you haven't done so already) and stop chasing the "holy grail" of Forex... take the time to learn to trade FPM properly (with the trading psychology and proper money management as taught) and you can be a success in the long run!
Now on to February's results for FPM... here's how the 8 pairs I traded fared:
41 trades taken total on the 4 Hour charts
16 winners for 3,523 pips
25 losers for 2,633 pips
Total pips won - +890
39% win rate
Avg win - 220
Avg loss - 105
Avg risk/reward ratio 2.1 to 1
Here's how the individual pairs fared in order of best to worst:
GBP/JPY - 2 wins, 1 loss - +885
USD/JPY - 3 wins, 2 losses - +423
GBP/USD - 2 wins, 2 losses - +366
EUR/JPY - 1 win, 3 losses - +289
AUD/USD - 1 win, 4 losses - (-186)
EUR/USD - 2 wins, 3 losses - (-163)
USD/CHF - 3 wins, 4 losses - (-237)
USD/CAD - 2 wins, 6 losses - (-487)
Total pips won - +890
So there you go... another profitable month for Forex Profit Monster.
For more information about FPM visit my website... http://www.forexprofitmonster.com/
To go directly to my eBay page for purchase, click here:
http://myworld.ebay.com/jimsgr8stuff4less
Best of luck in your trading!
Jim
http://www.forexprofitmonster.com/
http://myworld.ebay.com/jimsgr8stuff4less
Monday, March 9, 2009
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