November was a tough month for trend trading the Forex. Almost every pair was in a range and there were a lot of false breakouts. It's times like these that test your discipline. Having losses and months like these isn't the problem... it's not taking your losses until they become bigger then they should or getting upset/mad and letting it affect your trading decisions. It took me a long time to learn this... and it's still hard to control after several years of trading. However, time is on my side... there will always be good trends (especially in the currency market) and a quick glance at the equity chart above that spans over two years shows the power of trading this system. If I just showed you the graph you probably wouldn't even notice the drawdown that I entered into at the end of November... that's because in the grand scheme of things it's just a blip on the radar screen.
The other thing to note is that even though November ended up being a losing month, I did close out several trades in the first few days of December that accounted for enough pips to wipe out almost 50% of the draw down already! Plus, I have some good trades that I've opened over the last couple of days that look like they may take care of the rest. I don't know what will happen the rest of December (especially because it will be shortened by the holidays) but I am confident that my equity will be hitting new highs very soon.
Here are the details of my November results trading the 4 Hour chart:
38 trades taken
12 wins - 896 pips
26 losses - 2,298 pips
Total - (-1402 pips)
Win rate - 31%
Avg win - 74 pips
Avg loss - 88 pips
And the results by each pair that I trade:
USD/JPY - 1 win, 1 loss - +176 pips
AUD/USD- 1 win, 3 losses - + 2 pips
EUR/JPY- 2 wins, 2 losses- (-1 pip)
EUR/USD- 1 win, 4 losses- (-180 pips)
USD/CHF- 2 wins, 4 losses- (-218 pips)
GBP/USD- 3 wins, 4 losses- (-290 pips)
GBP/JPY- 0 wins, 4 losses- (-442 pips)
USD/CAD- 2 wins, 4 losses- (-449 pips)
So there goes November... and I can't say I'm sorry to see it go :-)
For those of you having a hard time dealing with your whipsaw losses for November and doubting the effectiveness of this system (or any trend following method), here's a video that sums everything up you need to know and should put a smile on your face. It's by one of the most successful trend followers of all time (and a pretty good banjo player too); Ed Seykota and "The Whipsaw Song":
Here's the overall monthly totals for the year so far:
January - 3,795 pips
February - 890 pips
March - 779 pips
April - 151 pips
May - 2,494 pips
June - 253 pips
July - 775 pips
August - (-230 pips)
September - 1,530 pips
October - 1,047 pips
November - (-1,402 pips)
That's a total of 10,082 pips so far for 2009, an average of 916 pips per month.
For more information about the Forex Profit Monster system (or my day trading system Forex Day Monster), visit www.forexprofitmonster.com
To purchase either Forex Profit Monster or Forex Day Monster visit my eBay page at http://myworld.ebay.com/jimsgr8stuff4less
Best of luck in your trading!
Jim
www.forexprofitmonster.com
http://myworld.ebay.com/jimsgr8stuff4less
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